Certainty about Communicating Uncertainty: Assessment of Flood Loss and Damage

​Uncertainty in flood loss and damage assessment is inevitable due to the flaws in data accuracy and reflecting the simplification of a complex system that is inherent to any assessment. Understanding the level of uncertainty in flood loss and damage assessment would help decision makers to understand the overall loss in future events, improve planning and allocation of their resources to protect from and respond to a flood event.

A common framework and standardized techniques for communicating uncertainty to decision makers are not readily available. This research by Bapon Fakhruddin and John Handmer developed a framework for communicating uncertainty for flood loss and damage assessment to the end users based on the floods in Thailand.